When people went about begging Kwankwaso to accept VP position for Obi, I felt embarrassed by that because I knew many of those who championed this campaign were ignorant about the internal political play.
I recall the first post I made when Obi left, I wanted an alliance between him and Obi, but I was skeptical about it. My skepticism came from deep understanding of the brand of politics played by the two candidates and also from the knowledge of how interest influence politics.
Truth is Kwankwaso rightly feels he stands a better chance to become the President going by the region he’s from and his religion. More-so, the action of a few non-players whom felt leading an online campaign for him, gave him that wrong notion that he had a National acceptance more than the other candidate.
If before, Kwankwaso was considering an alliance with LP which was the only option on the table as merger was impossible at the material time following the conclusion of party activities, that particular move by a few spoilt everything.
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If going by the present reality, between Obi and Kwankwaso, Obi has a higher stake if we are to reel out statistics of how they would perform in the election. As it stands now, 3 top people are contesting for the soul of Northern voters.
Atiku (Major contender), Tinubu (second major contender) Kwankwaso, the middle man in the game. Unlike what is in the North, only two persons are contesting for Southern votes with Tinubu holding forth the West and Obi holding SE and a major inroad into SE and a higher stake in SS than Tinubu. With this analysis, Kwankwaso would only assist either of the 3 major players in determining who would go a step further in the race.
Obi needs to reinvent the old sentiment of NC against the core North. If this is done perfectly, Obi’s chances would be higher than the other two players. Sentiments are what gains you more points and Obi has that sentiment to use to his advantage only if his campaign team knows how to aggravate such.